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Évaluation de la fiabilité d'un système de prévision de la demande dans le cas d'une politique de regroupement des besoins

Abstract : To establish production plans or replenishment plans, firms use forecasting systems. Such a system is composed of a forecasting method and a lot-sizing method. We propose a scheme to evaluate the reliability of such a system. This evaluation is based on the impact of demand randomness on the long run total cost. The scheme is illustrated with a system including an exponential smoothing technique for the demand forcasting and the Florian and Klein method for the lot-sizing. Simulation results show that such a system is quite reliable.
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https://hal-utt.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02316205
Contributor : Jean-Baptiste VU VAN Connect in order to contact the contributor
Submitted on : Tuesday, October 15, 2019 - 10:38:26 AM
Last modification on : Sunday, June 26, 2022 - 4:37:31 AM

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Alice Yalaoui, Eric Chatelet, Chengbin Chu. Évaluation de la fiabilité d'un système de prévision de la demande dans le cas d'une politique de regroupement des besoins. RAIRO - Operations Research, EDP Sciences, 2003, 37 (4), pp.325-335. ⟨10.1051/ro:2004005⟩. ⟨hal-02316205⟩

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